Lumpy-Eggnog
0x2547b74251a02357b920670b5adeb0b05ffee0b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$85.08
Total PnL
$12.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
28 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$28.37
$9.37
- NO
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?
15 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$15.21
$2.21
- YES
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
15 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$15.00
$10.80
- SEAHAWKS
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- SEAHAWKS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$5.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
40 shares @ 17.7¢·now 14.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.57
$-1.43
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.73
$-1.27
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Another Canada election called by June 30?
35 shares @ 20.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.54
$-6.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$7.00Feb 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Canada election called by June 30?$7.00Feb 19, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.63Feb 9, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$13.57Feb 9, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$10.00Feb 9, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$10.63Feb 9, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.00Feb 9, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$10.00Feb 9, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?$10.00Feb 9, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBig Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' Parlay$0.76Feb 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?$10.00Feb 9, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?$5.00Feb 9, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.96Feb 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$2.24Feb 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$4.80Feb 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' Parlay$5.00Feb 8, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?$3.00Feb 8, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 8, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".