Probable-Semicircle
0x25867077c891354137bbaf7fde12eec6949cc893
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$64.1K
Total PnL
$-314.0K
Realised
$-258.49
Win rate
74%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25989 shares @ 90.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.2K
$-194.99
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
24000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.7K
$1.6K
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
13595 shares @ 71.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.5K
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6916 shares @ 70.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.7K
$864.55
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
12684 shares @ 39.7¢·now 19.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$-2.5K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
5374 shares @ 36.9¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.1K
$166.09
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
2938 shares @ 34.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$193.89
- PREDATORS
Predators vs. Penguins
26870 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-11.6K
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
23750 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- SHARKS
Canucks vs. Sharks
23155 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.24Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.75Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$325.56Jun 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$674.43Jun 9, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$3.26Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.4KJun 8, 14:47 UTC
- YIELD$3.26Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.25Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.26Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.25Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$2.1KJun 3, 23:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.23Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.59Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$190.60Jun 2, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.71Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $71.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.