Gentle-Mouton
0x259ca67e9f3d9bf30f7be7b5e3faab60466090c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
794 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
253 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-93.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?
39 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.69
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$50.00Mar 25, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$50.00Mar 25, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$45.00Mar 25, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$30.03Mar 5, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$30.06Mar 5, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$30.00Mar 4, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$30.00Mar 4, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 26, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 25, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$5.06Feb 25, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$5.00Feb 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$4.44Feb 25, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$5.00Feb 25, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$4.46Feb 25, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$5.00Feb 25, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?$3.91Feb 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?$1.99Feb 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?$1.99Feb 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.30Feb 15, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.