Sinful-Mantle
0x25c2d66cdbfc516506a08fa9f1f7891baaa708c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-514.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
128100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-128.10
- YES
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
6653 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.12
- YES
Will X-Energy’s market cap be between $7B and $8B at market close on IPO day?
4861 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.61
- YES
Will Trump post "Prosecute" or "Prosecution" on Truth Social this week?
1150 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-34.50
- YES
Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?
1100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
800 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
340 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
338 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
300 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-38.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$46.18Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.01Jun 2, 16:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.30May 6, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00May 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$4.44May 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$12.28May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$10.60May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$8.93May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$19.82May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$11.16May 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$35.66May 5, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$39.15May 5, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$3.04May 5, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$70.69May 5, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$25.69May 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$20.40May 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$120.00May 5, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$5.80May 5, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$52.29May 5, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$160.88May 5, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $24.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.