Compassionate-Tendency
0x25d5dabff0e927f68d1753b527da4a6795337076
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
192
Open notional
$10.24
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$782.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
34 shares @ 59.1¢·now 30.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.24
$-9.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 11?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2275 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-413.99
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1368 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
1210 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-402.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?
1146 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
1124 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-214.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 February 2-8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.18Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$20.57Jul 20, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.3KJul 20, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$627.12Jul 20, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$168.74Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$167.13Jul 19, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.88Jul 19, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.0KJul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jul 19, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$667.86Jul 19, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.02Jul 19, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.05Jul 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$510.25Jul 19, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$25.00Jul 19, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$149.99Jul 19, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.02Jul 19, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.02Jul 19, 02:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.40Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $124.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.