Shiny-Mark
0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$46.6K
Total PnL
$-57.9K
Realised
$-16.0K
Win rate
73%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
154637 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.8K
$5.5K
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
12753 shares @ 17.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$2.9K
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
8216 shares @ 29.6¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$1.4K
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
4673 shares @ 9.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$568.76
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
2048 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$675.74
$-41.54
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
699 shares @ 47.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$415.79
$85.78
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
2153 shares @ 7.7¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$361.71
$195.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
12315 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$129.31
$-272.24
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
401 shares @ 11.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.40
$64.54
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
3102 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$108.56
$-97.94
Recent activity
- REWARD$94.05Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$4.21Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$31.00Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$7.25Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$31.40Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$21.43Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$10.06Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.55Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$0.77Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$0.78Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$30.22Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$13.81Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$4.71Jun 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.25Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$45.48Jun 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$6.85Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$40.44Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$50.00Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.00Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$115.44Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $26.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.