GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Probability

36¢

+0.0pp

24h

+4.0pp

24h Vol

$3.3K

Liquidity

$49.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+6.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:53

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5988.1h
LOW
11:53Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5988h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
11:00Price
Probability up 9.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 8.5pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 7.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 7.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 7.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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