Humble-Destroyer
0x2604882f089cf928fe179d02f144df2e674403f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$53.12
Total PnL
$-65.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.95
$-5.75
- YES
Will Tesla dip to $338 in January?
247 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 2 above $410?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
10 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$20.88Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$10.02Jun 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$10.02Jun 7, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.00Jun 7, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 7, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$30.00May 6, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$10.45May 6, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$34.92May 6, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$7.17Feb 28, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.12Feb 20, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.16Feb 20, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$20.43Feb 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.00Feb 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$20.00Feb 11, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Feb 11, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Feb 11, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$10.00Feb 11, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Feb 11, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 2 above $385?$10.27Feb 11, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 2 above $390?$10.52Feb 11, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.