Fat-Outset
0x260491e60e51090200242f348087fd9573dd8aa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$51.90
Total PnL
$-91.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64 shares @ 7.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.21
$2.21
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- DIEGO LOPES
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.29
$1.29
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$5.06Jun 14, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$5.08Jun 14, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?$5.09Jun 2, 23:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 30, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.