Extra-Small-Democrat
0x260b7f773a5727f6d11fe425eaa897553328aa9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$42.86
Total PnL
$-445.95
Realised
$-49.70
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
20 shares @ 97.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.86
$-0.60
- NO
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.70
$2.50
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.76
$0.69
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.45
$-1.72
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 18.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.03
- NO
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.78
$-0.97
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?
20 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.03
$-0.09
- OVER
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5
255 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-31.11
- OVER
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5
155 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)$120.66May 26, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)$75.00May 26, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5$19.12May 26, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)$62.46May 26, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$62.97May 26, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5$5.56May 26, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$192.97May 26, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$102.65May 26, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.29May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$0.84May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$9.66May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$9.00May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)$3.88May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$10.50May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5$0.25May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)$15.50May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$43.50May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5$0.75May 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.58May 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.95May 26, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".