Trivial-Hut
0x261bce43f2e77f68d563200e8f20ff243019b32b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$43.92
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$-317.50
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
183 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.58
$4.58
- YES
Obama federally charged before 2027?
182 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.40
$-2.55
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
321 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.37
$-5.62
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 23.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.56
$0.24
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
3086 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-268.69
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2436 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.49
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 16?
700 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?
647 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- SPURS
Warriors vs. Spurs
635 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-363.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 16?
560 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-50.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.26Jun 2, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?$20.24Jun 2, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche$93.36May 22, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$93.37May 22, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5$12.17May 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLObama federally charged before 2027?$2.30May 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$9.00May 10, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$18.75May 10, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$10.64May 9, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.95May 9, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-4.5)$62.83Apr 27, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$62.83Apr 27, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$45.00Apr 26, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders$30.00Apr 26, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox$24.00Apr 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$98.69Apr 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hawks$43.00Apr 23, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$43.31Apr 22, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$50.86Apr 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies$50.00Apr 18, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $44.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".