Probable-Character
0x263f7f02829e80892948b485f09e7fe5d1bfb621
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$266.98
Total PnL
$-370.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
7873 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$59.05
$9.05
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1157 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.30
$10.30
- YES
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
870 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.08
$23.08
- YES
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
44 shares @ 11.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$15.23
$10.23
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$14.37
$9.37
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.14
$5.14
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
590 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
481 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.45
$-2.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.027h ago
- YIELD$0.021d ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- YIELD$0.023d ago
- YIELD$0.024d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- YIELD$0.026d ago
- YIELD$0.027d ago
- YIELD$0.028d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$0.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0212d ago
- YIELD$0.0213d ago
- YIELD$0.0414d ago
- YIELD$0.0115d ago
- YIELD$0.0116d ago
- YIELD$0.0117d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".