Severe-Luggage-Involvement
0x26420831d43de4b0025eabacbfb44c497eeaf675
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-312.82
Win rate
0%
194 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
714 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-157.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
286 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
254 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-48.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
185 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-64.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
179 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-55.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
167 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-83.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
163 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-60.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
161 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-56.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.57Jun 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.47Jun 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.44Jun 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.13Jun 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.99Jun 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.17Jun 13, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.96Jun 13, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.36Jun 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.15Jun 13, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.36Jun 12, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.23Jun 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.54Jun 12, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.36Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.10Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.46Jun 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.62Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.38Jun 12, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.02Jun 12, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.36Jun 12, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.06Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 194 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
194 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 194 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.