Lanky-Fluke
0x264251aee3feaf494f0e8760c3c8c2ffcbd9c8ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$13.22
Total PnL
$-18.97
Realised
$1.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
126 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.22
$-0.63
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?
3 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 5?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$13.85Apr 15, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$13.85Apr 2, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$12.86Apr 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$12.86Mar 24, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$11.25Mar 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$11.25Feb 27, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$12.19Feb 27, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$12.18Feb 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$8.38Feb 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.70Feb 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$3.15Feb 16, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.02Feb 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.22Feb 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.39Feb 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$0.42Feb 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$0.46Feb 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$0.50Feb 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$0.78Feb 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?$10.46Feb 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?$10.01Feb 15, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.