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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 3, 2026

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Probability

71¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$1.2K

Liquidity

$27.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 07:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4600.9h

    LOW
  • 07:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4601h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNebraska Senate Election Winner
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Associated PressNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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