Mellow-Temptress
0x264a48bfa054fb735cedaf7bb8ac75f4fb044cbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$14.67
Total PnL
$-114.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.35
$-1.65
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.32
$-3.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1003 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
118 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
108 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
73 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.28
- YES
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$29.28Apr 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.81Apr 8, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$3.37Apr 8, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.98Apr 8, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?$5.00Mar 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.00Mar 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.00Mar 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.00Mar 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.00Mar 30, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$4.00Mar 26, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 00:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".