Vigilant-Thistle
0x264bf42e23a945a38a0c9251f8197cb3be2fcf7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-68.15
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3086 shares @ 8.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$325.62
$75.62
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
992 shares @ 25.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$262.75
$12.75
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2326 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.44
$17.44
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1449 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.48
$-6.52
- YES
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
731 shares @ 17.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.35
$-38.65
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.77
$-19.23
- UNDER
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
146 shares @ 41.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$70.98
$10.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.12
$12.12
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1333 shares @ 7.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.00
$-48.00
- QATAR
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$50.61
$0.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$61.06Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$50.88Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$394.74Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$434.78Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$152.79Jun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$102.31Jun 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$51.20Jun 12, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$200.00Jun 12, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5$117.65Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$202.30Jun 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5$40.79Jun 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$81.61Jun 12, 02:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$81.44Jun 11, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$150.00Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$61.08Jun 11, 08:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $74.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.