Nice-Bead
0x265c9ada5acf4ad987241de11f8304dcba444da5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$71.43
Total PnL
$-67.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.46
$0.46
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
11 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.35
$0.35
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$10.47
$1.47
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
9 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$9.09
$0.09
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.13
$1.13
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
8 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.07
$0.07
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.45
$0.45
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.41
$0.41
- BASHI
Rodriguez vs. Bashi
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
12 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$9.00Feb 9, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$8.00Feb 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?$9.00Feb 9, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$9.00Feb 9, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$6.00Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$11.00Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$7.25Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$7.40Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$7.89Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$12.90Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$15.22Feb 9, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$6.00Jan 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.00Jan 30, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.00Jan 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.00Jan 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$8.00Jan 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$7.00Jan 30, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.11Jan 30, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?$8.54Jan 30, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".