Muddy-Ligula
0x265d18adc54f781aadde5e8850e1235a049da566
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$95.05
Total PnL
$-154.37
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
25 shares @ 39.9¢·now 88.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.18
$12.18
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
82 shares @ 24.4¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
104 shares @ 17.3¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.95
$-3.05
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
32 shares @ 46.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.23
$-0.77
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
17 shares @ 58.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.97
$0.97
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.51
$2.51
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 44.2¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.94
$-2.06
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 43.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.29
$1.29
- YES
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.