Frequent-Mower
0x265e171bc61ab5e85c9758b78eec01501666327b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$36.90
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$10.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
1492 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$19.40
$-10.90
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
664 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
525 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
406 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
349 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- JOAO FONSECA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
306 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-202.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$5.40Jul 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$6.30Jul 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$9.90Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$15.73Jul 8, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$20.39Jul 7, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$43.18Jul 7, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$19.99Jul 6, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5$4.99Jul 6, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$10.00Jul 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5) AND Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka AND Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff$29.99Jul 5, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$65.00Jun 30, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. England: England O/U 2.5 AND DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 AND Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$20.00Jun 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" 20+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?$5.19Jun 26, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. England: England O/U 2.5 AND Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 AND DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 AND Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5$9.99Jun 26, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27?$30.00Jun 26, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbert$10.22Jun 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbert AND Zizou Bergs vs. Toby Samuel: Total Sets O/U 2.5$14.99Jun 26, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMMorocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5$54.35Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$30.60Jun 24, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5$25.40Jun 24, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $15.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.