Hidden-Participation
0x26755d052a3676c8d2a611eb492b94857f2c5bf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-53.04
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1736 shares @ 88.4¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-41.57
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
688 shares @ 82.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$526.28
$-38.72
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
560 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$506.80
$2.80
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
663 shares @ 71.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$427.35
$-48.25
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
1345 shares @ 42.0¢·now 30.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$413.03
$-152.15
- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
454 shares @ 82.7¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$400.13
$24.59
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
457 shares @ 87.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$400.04
$0.04
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
431 shares @ 85.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$359.37
$-10.63
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
892 shares @ 52.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$281.10
$-188.90
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$212.95
$12.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$5.00Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$250.00Jun 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$100.65Jun 12, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$349.59Jun 12, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$370.00Jun 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$374.46Jun 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$504.00Jun 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$114.95Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$278.91Jun 12, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$150.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$50.00Jun 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$72.80Jun 10, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend NATO Summit?$72.76Jun 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$65.00Jun 9, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 9, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$100.48Jun 9, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$265.30Jun 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$139.56Jun 8, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$138.89Jun 8, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$74.00Jun 8, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $146.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.