Hidden-Participation
0x26755d052a3676c8d2a611eb492b94857f2c5bf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-77.02
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1875 shares @ 88.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$132.03
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
7165 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-187.88
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
5678 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
3690 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
333 shares @ 87.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
246 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
218 shares @ 87.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
141 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$267.12Jul 10, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$552.06Jul 10, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$559.60Jul 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$540.00Jul 4, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$144.54Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$109.02Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$292.79Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$20.00Jun 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$200.00Jun 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$219.78Jun 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$180.00Jun 29, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?$180.07Jun 29, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$177.50Jun 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$504.00Jun 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$681.75Jun 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$103.00Jun 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$93.00Jun 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$4.95Jun 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$78.50Jun 28, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $173.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.