Original-Alligator
0x26a91b70f25e0fe7a5b9566b37feff2fc6237c30
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 92.5¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 45.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.49
$-0.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1005 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-502.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.12
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.15Jan 7, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.19Jan 7, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Dec 13, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$10.65Dec 13, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$250.00Dec 13, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $142.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".