Mundane-Lighting

• NO

  US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

  27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026

  $19.04

  $4.18

• YES

  Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

  26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027

  $15.21

  $10.27

• NO

  Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

  22 shares @ 68.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026

  $9.82

  $-5.04

• NO

  Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

  62 shares @ 18.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $8.00

  $-3.41

• NO

  Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

  16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027

  $6.48

  $-3.52

• YES

  Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

  242 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $6.15

  $-0.92

• NO

  Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

  109 shares @ 9.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026

  $6.00

  $-4.31

• NO

  Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

  8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $5.62

  $0.68

• NO

  Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

  6 shares @ 76.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $4.85

  $-0.02

• YES

  Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

  33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $4.81

  $-0.17

• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7.97Jul 29, 15:24 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.30Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
• TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.51Jul 28, 00:48 UTC
• TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.03Jul 27, 11:48 UTC
• TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5.00Jul 26, 13:17 UTC
• TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$5.17Jul 26, 13:03 UTC
• TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$4.94Jul 26, 05:59 UTC
• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$9.94Jul 25, 20:34 UTC
• TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$4.94Jul 24, 15:45 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$5.15Jul 24, 12:20 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$6.22Jul 24, 02:16 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$5.14Jul 23, 21:47 UTC
• TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$4.94Jul 23, 15:05 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.50Jul 23, 15:05 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.64Jul 23, 12:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$4.66Jul 23, 11:47 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.75Jul 23, 11:41 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.91Jul 23, 11:32 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$4.96Jul 23, 11:22 UTC
• TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$5.76Jul 23, 01:02 UTC

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