Mundane-Lighting
0x26b0bad7058f84a5527bc27c794acc794b04b22d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$134.67
Total PnL
$-142.08
Realised
$19.43
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.31
$-0.67
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.86
$4.36
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
14 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.57
$1.19
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$0.64
- YES
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$7.93
$2.99
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.90
$-1.96
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 76.2¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.67
$0.05
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
242 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.42
$-0.65
- NO
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
34 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.12
$-0.34
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.72
$0.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$5.18Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$4.98Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.15Jun 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?$0.11Jun 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11?$0.02Jun 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?$0.22Jun 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11?$0.07Jun 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?$0.27Jun 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?$0.63Jun 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.63Jun 10, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$2.90Jun 10, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$1.96Jun 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$3.54Jun 10, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.