Vague-Tank
0x26ec8a80b71ad806beb78eb58b7d77a740b1682c
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$38.59
Total PnL
$4.68
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?
45 shares @ 8.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.65
$13.05
- YES
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
28 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.44
$-0.80
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
34 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.17
$0.08
- YES
Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in April?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.28
$-0.67
- YES
Will Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.88
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?
59 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.21
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
42 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.36
- YES
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$19.0417h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.091d ago
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$2.342d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.202d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?$5.582d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.013d ago
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in April?$0.073d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.153d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.033d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$0.233d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.723d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$3.603d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in April?$0.016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag$0.026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag$0.016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.007d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".