Ethical-Butcher
0x270569bf35c77620f389bd6bfa3492b1f3d3fd13
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?
130 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on April 5?
123 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 29?
118 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
110 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-108.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 21?
99 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?
83 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- UTAH UTES
Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars
62 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
51 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?
35 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-32.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 23?
34 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$2.84Jul 15, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?$56.07Jul 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?$53.32Jul 2, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 27?$45.92May 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 27?$43.35May 27, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$44.61May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$0.04May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$43.01May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$2.36May 16, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$42.63May 10, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$40.20May 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 11?$40.97May 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?$0.00Apr 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 11?$0.04Apr 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 11?$39.17Apr 12, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 23?$0.00Apr 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on April 5?$3.31Apr 6, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 28?$44.15Apr 6, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on January 30?$0.00Mar 31, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.