Quizzical-Gem
0x273324d9398a37984b3cf2d0e8903cdbf2135ae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$36.35
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?
867 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-119.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8?
585 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-164.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?
235 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-89.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?
170 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?
125 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?
123 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?
94 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$125.72Jul 13, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$17.50Jul 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.49Jun 29, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?$10.00Jun 26, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.71Jun 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.04Jun 24, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.10Jun 24, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$10.40Jun 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$4.99Jun 24, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$0.39Jun 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$1.17Jun 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$1.20Jun 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?$10.37Jun 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$1.21Jun 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?$1.08Jun 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$20.71Jun 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$10.36Jun 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?$41.94Jun 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?$6.99Jun 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?$16.28Jun 23, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.