Royal-Manhunt
0x276b10cbede8bf3dfee677be1b9485ac2606a5fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$39.08
Total PnL
$-18.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$6.10
$2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?
18 shares @ 33.6¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.38
$-1.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$3.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?
30 shares @ 19.9¢·now 9.1¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.74
$-3.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 13?
29 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.71
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 14?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 14?
112 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 14?
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.18
$-0.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 14?$2.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on May 14?$2.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 14?$2.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 14?$2.107h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$35.457h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?$6.247h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?$6.207h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 14?$5.238h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?$7.258h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?$6.258h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$45.838h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 14?$3.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 13?$4.171d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?$4.191d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$5.221d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?$4.161d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$4.181d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?$4.191d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$5.231d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".