Turbulent-Picnic
0x277f15476d4932ca5a1cafe6a708cd9f1c11dea4
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.45
Total PnL
$-29.56
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 26.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.02
$0.02
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
32 shares @ 12.4¢·now 10.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.42
$-0.58
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
25 shares @ 12.2¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
40 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$4.2010h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$3.1112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$3.1112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$3.1112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.1212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.1412h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$4.152d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.272d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.062d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.252d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.022d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$3.073d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$10.353d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$3.963d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.193d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.493d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.143d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$8.353d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.213d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".