First-Throne
0x277f3f37ba624c9cc325539ca760b842452d4310
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.18
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 11.9¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.18
$2.47
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1736 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-868.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1304 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-652.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1303 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-651.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.71Mar 31, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$2.11Mar 31, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.03Mar 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.00Feb 6, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$2.00Feb 6, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.10Feb 6, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$17.00Jan 10, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$3.17Jan 9, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$16.10Jan 9, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.01Jan 9, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$6.0KDec 10, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$6.0KDec 10, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$3.0KDec 10, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.5KDec 10, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $640.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".