Flawed-Spat
0x2793e5a1174eda40dc76a8ff19b5af727d964e49
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$87.81
Total PnL
$-202.26
Realised
$34.00
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 32.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.10
$-17.90
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
122 shares @ 33.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.68
$-19.68
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.77
$2.57
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.50
$-43.50
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.50
$-0.90
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-7.74
- YES
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
490 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.40
- MAKHMUDOV
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
149 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.38
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Eileen Higgins win the Miami Mayoral runoff by less than 6%?
90 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$16.00Apr 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$24.35Apr 24, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$54.00Apr 23, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$12.59Apr 22, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$77.75Apr 22, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$67.00Apr 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$1.00Apr 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$2.78Apr 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$0.11Apr 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$0.11Apr 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$2.00Apr 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$8.50Apr 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Apr 7, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$101.52Apr 7, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$3.00Apr 3, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMLabour leadership election scheduled by March 31?$16.16Apr 1, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$40.00Apr 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$1.96Mar 25, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$1.10Mar 24, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Doom: The Dark Ages win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?$0.00Mar 24, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".