Fickle-Halt-Window
0x279c5de35108afc30b99f09e595555b428e92b82
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$14.96
Realised
$-170.89
Win rate
66%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1895 shares @ 73.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$69.62
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1497 shares @ 51.2¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$845.38
$79.70
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
653 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$610.09
$9.40
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
656 shares @ 65.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$423.18
$-4.02
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
382 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$361.67
$-0.97
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
388 shares @ 84.2¢·now 87.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$337.85
$11.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
314 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$306.15
$0.39
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
375 shares @ 76.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$286.95
$-1.07
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
411 shares @ 66.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$260.93
$-11.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
278 shares @ 77.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$237.62
$23.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$0.343m ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$2.163m ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$2.643m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4.904m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4.414m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.267m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.247m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.038m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.0311m ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$7.5054m ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$4.7454m ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$23.4159m ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$25.2959m ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$8.571h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.981h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.551h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.261h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$18.431h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.241h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.241h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
