Entire-Statue
0x27b999e442de6aea7f972069edb58ff09cd690d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$918.70
Total PnL
$-243.97
Realised
$-25.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
560 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$559.82
$42.38
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
168 shares @ 56.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$94.90
$0.12
- NO
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 58.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$55.48
$13.14
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
84 shares @ 62.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$53.34
$0.56
- YES
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
41 shares @ 84.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$40.71
$5.90
- YES
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?
62 shares @ 42.0¢·now 46.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.61
$2.57
- $1,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
44 shares @ 56.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.98
$-0.72
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
19 shares @ 61.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.71
$7.13
- YES
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
95 shares @ 41.1¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.10
$-21.96
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
39 shares @ 24.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.21
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$22.40Jun 23, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$310.00Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?$47.50Jun 23, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?$43.58Jun 23, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$92.73Jun 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$181.05Jun 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?$96.44Jun 23, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$35.18Jun 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$30.84Jun 23, 09:19 UTC
- MERGEArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$59.00Jun 23, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$295.00Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMJordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5$39.00Jun 23, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Algeria (-2.5)$11.00Jun 23, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Algeria (-2.5)$10.36Jun 23, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$246.10Jun 23, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5$10.72Jun 23, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5$25.45Jun 23, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.15Jun 23, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$16.14Jun 23, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$11.20Jun 23, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $291.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.