OtherExpires Jan 1, 2028

SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Probability

49¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$69.65

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 14770h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 91.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 14769.5h

    LOW
  • 19:29Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 14770h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.0pp at 2d ago (to 50¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Slingshot's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Slingshot will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Slingshot (https://x.com/SlingshotDAO) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2028
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
x.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (91.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.