Familiar-Property
0x27c35a06a753c756c4a8f93c2761fe111950adc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$98.10
Total PnL
$-152.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
98 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$98.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?
804 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
794 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?
756 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?
752 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on February 25?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?
747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 5?
747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
739 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 23?
732 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$98.00Jul 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$2.15Jul 3, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$100.10Jul 3, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$100.01Jun 30, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$12.76Jun 19, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.31Jun 19, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$72.05Jun 19, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$71.91May 31, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.16May 31, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$77.08May 31, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$77.01May 30, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 28?$11.45May 30, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$65.55May 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$65.48May 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$12.70May 29, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot$7.50May 29, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$70.69May 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$70.62May 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.30May 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot$7.61May 28, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $70.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.