Immediate-Billion
0x27ce684cb8de37972d5a0ad0c89cc0523c13d0ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$83.32
Total PnL
$-957.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$9.13
$3.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 13?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$7.55
$1.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 12?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$7.45
$1.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 13?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$7.10
$1.10
- NO
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$1.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 12?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.55
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 13?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$6.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$5.94
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 12?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$5.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$5.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 13?$3.60Jul 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?$0.36Jul 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 13?$1.50Jul 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?$1.50Jul 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?$1.88Jul 12, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 12, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 11?$6.00Jul 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?$1.88Jul 12, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?$0.38Jul 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 13?$0.58Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 13?$3.02Jul 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 12?$2.10Jul 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 13?$6.00Jul 12, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?$6.00Jul 11, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?$10.00Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.