Failing-Fate
0x280719fa57efebe8769389d2df26df2121f8118b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$83.54
Total PnL
$19.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
70 shares @ 71.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$70.03
$20.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.51
$3.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 14?
15 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.09May 31, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.09May 31, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$67.69May 31, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$70.46May 30, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$25.49May 30, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$25.51May 30, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$120.13May 30, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$111.16May 28, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$113.30May 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$110.17May 26, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$106.21May 26, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$103.91May 24, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.21May 24, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$6.17May 24, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 14?$4.16Apr 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Mar 25, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $58.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.