Improbable-Hummus
0x28138d6e6980fa4a82403bb176a89387bf2a2323
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$22.77
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-8.66
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
41 shares @ 48.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.43
$-6.57
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
41 shares @ 24.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.76
$-3.24
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
36 shares @ 27.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-8.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.72
$-4.28
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
22 shares @ 46.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-9.58
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
11977 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-43.96
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
4910 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
1029 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 15:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.30Feb 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$7.23Feb 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Feb 23, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Feb 23, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$26.75Feb 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.00Feb 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.00Feb 23, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.64Feb 23, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.00Feb 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.00Feb 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$13.08Feb 23, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.00Feb 23, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$19.18Feb 23, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$18.11Feb 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.05Feb 23, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.31Feb 23, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".