Joint-Chance
0x281bbbc31183c57e46e8841fb617bf3423fd9428
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$35.69
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-99.84
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
62 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$35.69
$-0.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
5100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
1512 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 22)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
733 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$36.45Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$36.13Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$17.27Jun 12, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$13.18Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-09?$4.09Jun 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win on 2026-06-09?$4.06Jun 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win on 2026-06-09?$7.07Jun 9, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-09?$6.99Jun 9, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-09?$10.18Jun 9, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-09?$10.18Jun 9, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indonesia win on 2026-06-09?$20.56Jun 9, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indonesia win on 2026-06-09?$16.11Jun 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-07?$40.48Jun 7, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-06?$28.95Jun 7, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-06?$11.99Jun 7, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-06?$10.00Jun 6, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-06?$22.16Jun 6, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$32.06Jun 6, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$26.15Jun 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$52.71May 30, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $38.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.