Blond-Stepgrandfather
0x282d6d0ce5e02c54fd4b9685b7d3b6afbace10fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$283.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
3333 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$50.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
473 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$473.43
$73.43
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
437 shares @ 77.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$393.21
$53.21
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
358 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$357.76
$57.76
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
144 shares @ 69.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$132.71
$32.71
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.88
$16.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.27Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.