Mean-Assurance
0x2836cb14566735745e2236a5e149004e97d5c511
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$560.72
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$198.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
366 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$197.62
$-10.83
- YES
Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$97.07
$-2.93
- YES
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$67.50
$-32.50
- BORRALHO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
686 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-349.92
- KIM
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
576 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-236.00
- CHARRIÈRE
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)
483 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-232.00
- GAFUROV
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)
422 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Will Borralho win by decision?
245 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-62.70
- ALCARAZ
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
218 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.88Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$6.57Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$202.58Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$201.92Jun 11, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.60Jun 11, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$101.50Jun 11, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.8KJun 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$977.54Jun 1, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0KJun 1, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0KJun 1, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$65.17Jun 1, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.0KJun 1, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.6KJun 1, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$655.17May 31, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$51.06May 30, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$142.98May 30, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$90.67May 29, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.45May 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$306.60May 28, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $332.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.