Poor-Casualty
0x283dc5e9fcd5a7e03e8198db0147de4e2dfd221a
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$194.26
Total PnL
$16.75
Realised
$12.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
216 shares @ 64.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$143.64
$3.64
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
25 shares @ 83.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$21.69
$1.26
- YES
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
22 shares @ 91.1¢·now 86.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.05
$-0.95
- PISTONS
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- OVER
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5$1.014m ago
- TRADESELLCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5$0.385h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$20.135h ago
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.005h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$49.435h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-3.5)$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$1.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-2.5)$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$1.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.025h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-13.5)$0.125h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-7.5)$0.006h ago
- REDEEMUS Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?$0.006h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18h ago
- Last active
- 4m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".