Some-Geranium
0x2841da5189de2d0704caaee699d6494235f4bac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$61.66
Total PnL
$-83.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.38
$0.38
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.12
$1.12
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$6.02
$1.02
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
55 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".