Likely-Probation

• YES

  Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 1.5m and 2m?

  1021 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026

  $0.00

  $-3.00

• NO

  U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

  511 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-8.00

• YES

  Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement?

  211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026

  $0.00

  $-4.00

• YES

  Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?

  103 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026

  $0.00

  $-4.00

• YES

  Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?

  75 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026

  $0.00

  $-4.00

• YES

  Will Trump say "Biden" during Fed chair announcement?

  56 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026

  $0.00

  $-4.00

• NO

  Will the US strike Somalia next?

  41 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-6.00

• NO

  Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?

  22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026

  $0.00

  $-5.00

• NO

  Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

  21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-6.00

• NO

  Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

  16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-5.00

• YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:50 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.67Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$2.20Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLKristi Noem out by March 31?$3.64Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$3.64Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.22Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$3.89Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$4.40Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$4.59Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$4.69Jan 31, 12:04 UTC
• TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$4.69Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$4.87Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$3.30Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?$4.62Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$5.43Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$5.33Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.71Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.30Jan 31, 12:02 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.13Jan 31, 12:02 UTC
• TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.74Jan 31, 12:02 UTC

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