Youthful-Calico
0x285b2f4aa132c64dd39883138045438bbb7bf3d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$395.97
Realised
$639.87
Win rate
95%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Pino vs. Rocha: Match O/U 21.5
2715 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- SAKAI
WTT - Men's Singles: Yuhi Sakai vs Tianyang Li
2049 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?
2031 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on March 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Exact Score: FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?
1999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ryo Hisatsune finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valspar Championship?
1981 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?
1962 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 18?
1893 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.18Jul 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.09Jul 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GameSport vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner$0.59Jul 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GameSport vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner$0.37Jul 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?$0.17Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$4.27Jul 28, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.07Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.14Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.04Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.01Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.11Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.02Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.07Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.27Jul 28, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage$0.13Jul 28, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$0.03Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$0.73Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$0.76Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 28?$5.41Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
75 closed markets, 95% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.