Optimal-Arrow
0x286b7703ad630fd57bfc1c740f33b4923dcd1ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PAS win by less than 4% of the vote?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Elizabeth Taylor' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?$1.00May 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 11, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 6, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Apr 6, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JJ Redick win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.00Mar 7, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Mar 7, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Mar 7, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 7, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 12, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 12, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Feb 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$1.00Jan 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$1.00Dec 19, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Nov 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 21, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 8, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".