Silly-Change
0x28cf12bac92a5c601660fe8c8e42d9021a78e664
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$14.11
Total PnL
$-25.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.11
$5.11
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.33
$0.33
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
121 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.05May 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$3.00May 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$4.21May 12, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$4.19May 12, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.51May 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$13.03May 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$1.00Apr 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Apr 21, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$1.00Apr 21, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.00Apr 20, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Apr 20, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$3.00Apr 20, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 20, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.