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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+0.2pp

24h Vol

$120.1K

Liquidity

$55.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 115.4h

    LOW
  • 04:35Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 115h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

11
Same eventWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

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