Flippant-Mistake
0x28fe2f01235030b594d200b0ee9e1cf3a8ad2bdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$34.34
Total PnL
$6.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.67
$15.67
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$14.08
$4.08
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$3.57
$0.57
- YES
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.02
$-2.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
159 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$10.00Oct 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$3.00Oct 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?$1.00Oct 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?$1.00Oct 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$1.00Oct 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by October 31?$1.00Oct 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?$1.00Oct 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$1.00Oct 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 17?$1.00Oct 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$3.00Oct 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 31?$1.00Oct 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Oct 13, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.