Rich-Furnace
0x28ffdd16e119686298ad9df3baad0405980e721c
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-209.27
Realised
$18.16
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.67
$0.22
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?
10077 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will "YUKON - Justin Bieber" win Best R&B Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
1102 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
860 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 27?
334 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.95Apr 18, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$1.41Apr 18, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$8.13Apr 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.82Mar 23, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.96Mar 23, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.75Mar 23, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 20, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$2.00Mar 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$2.00Mar 13, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET$0.00Mar 12, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET$2.00Mar 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$6.25Mar 12, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET$3.04Mar 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET$5.05Mar 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET$2.00Mar 12, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET$2.00Mar 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$39.83Mar 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ET$10.61Mar 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$6.87Mar 11, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.