Trained-Enquiry
0x2911ffd08158e85f08507b43ad8dac25688598a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$354.65
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
10393 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-102.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
5744 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-165.60
- YES
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
2778 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
2556 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-151.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?
2500 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$71.68Jul 6, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?$23.94Jul 6, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?$6.06Jul 6, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$98.50Jul 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$1.50Jul 6, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$707.67Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$87.16Jul 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$102.76Jul 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$205.34Jul 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$102.89Jul 3, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$98.48Jun 27, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-27?$106.96Jun 27, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-27?$5.14Jun 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?$214.08Jun 27, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$1.2KJun 25, 03:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.46Jun 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$214.98Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?$89.95Jun 24, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$196.84Jun 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?$103.61Jun 24, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $136.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.